Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.400010 0.442742 0.488659 0.541757 0.601578 0.667013 0.744177
2025-05-04 0.332250 0.391509 0.459916 0.545107 0.648893 0.771899 0.929719
2025-05-11 0.292927 0.359703 0.440538 0.546371 0.682406 0.852904 1.085169
2025-05-18 0.266784 0.338695 0.429175 0.552606 0.718500 0.936454 1.248975
2025-05-25 0.239390 0.312302 0.406999 0.540663 0.727151 0.982130 1.364154
2025-06-01 0.224125 0.299809 0.401032 0.548527 0.761675 1.064362 1.537406
2025-06-08 0.207368 0.283488 0.387926 0.544411 0.777694 1.120360 1.676634
2025-06-15 0.195553 0.272839 0.381458 0.548566 0.805190 1.194604 1.850555
2025-06-22 0.181711 0.258085 0.367707 0.540343 0.812546 1.237804 1.978448
2025-06-29 0.170318 0.245982 0.356760 0.535114 0.823489 1.286775 2.120122
2025-07-06 0.155892 0.228327 0.336163 0.513053 0.805238 1.285998 2.175185
2025-07-13 0.149739 0.222774 0.333550 0.519124 0.833149 1.364083 2.377906
2025-07-20 0.143752 0.217208 0.330708 0.524875 0.861511 1.446537 2.600576
2025-07-27 0.137806 0.211321 0.326941 0.528760 0.886957 1.526306 2.828344
2025-08-03 0.131832 0.204965 0.321907 0.529938 0.907435 1.598582 3.049802
2025-08-10 0.127288 0.200624 0.319837 0.535961 0.936969 1.690266 3.321995
2025-08-17 0.119867 0.191063 0.308381 0.524429 0.932787 1.716562 3.459446
2025-08-24 0.116397 0.187918 0.307610 0.532022 0.965319 1.817891 3.772600
2025-08-31 0.111222 0.181559 0.300857 0.528048 0.974954 1.873727 3.990883
2025-09-07 0.107708 0.177856 0.298506 0.532059 1.000562 1.964786 4.302510
2025-09-14 0.102582 0.171048 0.290212 0.524120 1.001258 2.002961 4.492887
2025-09-21 0.098231 0.165386 0.283658 0.519070 1.007419 2.053410 4.720103
2025-09-28 0.091829 0.155742 0.269313 0.497764 0.977773 2.021760 4.735621